Oriental Lisboa vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1956 |
CAL
4 - 2
ORI
56%
21%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
ORI
1 - 4
ATL
35%
22%
43%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
ATL
2 - 2
ORI
73%
14%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
VST
4 - 1
ORI
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
ORI
2 - 1
SPB
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1956 |
BEL
4 - 2
ATL
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
BEL
2 - 3
TOR
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
BEL
3 - 2
CAL
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLB
47%
21%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCP
43%
22%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |