Oriental Lisboa vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
FCB
8 - 2
ORI
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1952 |
ORI
2 - 1
SAL
74%
15%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
SPB
4 - 1
ORI
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
ORI
1 - 0
ACA
54%
21%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
ORI
1 - 3
SLB
18%
17%
65%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
BEL
2 - 0
SLB
33%
21%
46%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1952 |
ATL
1 - 1
BEL
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
BEL
3 - 0
SPC
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
FCP
1 - 1
BEL
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
BEL
3 - 0
BOA
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |