Oriental Lisboa vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 2
ORI
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
ORI
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 2
CAS
42%
28%
30%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 4
ORI
8%
16%
76%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAC
0 - 0
ORI
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
FCB
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 0
ATL
42%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAC
4 - 0
ATL
30%
27%
44%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -3 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 2
ATL
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
CAS
50%
27%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |