Oriental Lisboa vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
ORI
1 - 0
OLH
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
BEL
3 - 0
ORI
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
ORI
0 - 0
SCP
15%
25%
61%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
ORI
0 - 0
SLB
14%
23%
63%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
FAB
3 - 0
ORI
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 0
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
ACA
2 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
BOA
1 - 0
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
ACA
0 - 1
LEX
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
FAR
3 - 0
ACA
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |