Oriental Lisboa vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
SCP
8 - 0
ORI
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
ORI
1 - 3
SLB
14%
25%
61%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
VIT
4 - 1
ORI
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
ORI
1 - 3
FCP
21%
28%
52%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
CDM
8 - 1
ORI
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
ACA
0 - 0
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
LEX
1 - 0
ACA
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
ACA
2 - 1
BOA
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
VST
3 - 0
ACA
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
ACA
6 - 1
FCB
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |