Oriental Lisboa vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
ORI
1 - 3
SLB
18%
17%
65%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
ATL
1 - 2
ORI
80%
12%
8%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
ORI
1 - 4
SPC
41%
22%
37%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
FCP
6 - 2
ORI
88%
8%
4%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
BOA
4 - 1
ORI
68%
16%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
ACA
4 - 0
EST
53%
20%
27%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
86%
9%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
ACA
3 - 3
SCP
22%
20%
58%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
ATL
0 - 1
ACA
71%
15%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
72%
15%
13%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |