Oriental Lisboa vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
VST
4 - 1
ORI
66%
17%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
ORI
1 - 0
SPC
40%
22%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
FCP
3 - 0
ORI
86%
9%
5%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
ORI
2 - 0
SPB
42%
22%
36%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
ATL
3 - 0
ORI
80%
12%
9%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
SLB
3 - 2
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
ACA
1 - 1
VST
65%
17%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
ACA
4 - 1
OLH
69%
16%
15%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
SPC
3 - 1
ACA
61%
17%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
ACA
3 - 2
BOA
73%
14%
13%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |