Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 5-6
Oriental Lisboa vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
24%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
ORI
1 - 2
VST
58%
19%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SPC
0 - 1
ORI
68%
16%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 1
FCP
20%
20%
60%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
SPB
3 - 0
ORI
62%
19%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
ORI
4 - 2
ATL
35%
23%
42%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
24%
20%
56%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
VST
1 - 0
ACA
52%
21%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
OLH
3 - 0
ACA
58%
19%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
ACA
5 - 1
SPC
56%
19%
26%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
BOA
5 - 0
ACA
57%
20%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |