Oriental Dragon vs Serpa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
34%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
13º
10º
33
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 0
ORI
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 2
CAN
38%
25%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 0
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
EDL
2 - 1
ORI
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ORI
2 - 1
1DE
49%
22%
28%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SER
0 - 3
GFC
5%
12%
83%
|
34 | 71 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
OLH
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
1MA
0 - 8
SER
17%
18%
65%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FAB
2 - 1
SER
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SER
2 - 2
RAB
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |