Örgryte vs Varbergs BoIS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
8º
16º
8º
27
9º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
41 | 55 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
1º
|
42 | 55 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 51 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 49 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 47 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 44 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 40 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 35 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 31 |
15º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 68% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 28.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
ORG
0 - 0
LAN
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GEF
2 - 3
ORG
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
IKB
0 - 2
ORG
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
ORG
1 - 3
DEG
29%
26%
46%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
ORG
6%
15%
79%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SKO
2 - 2
VAR
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IKO
3 - 2
VAR
35%
26%
40%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
UTS
47%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 4
VAR
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 3
VAR
5%
13%
82%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | +1 |