Örgryte vs Varbergs BoIS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 1
ORG
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
ORG
2 - 0
DEG
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
JON
2 - 2
ORG
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ORG
4 - 1
IKB
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
IKF
2 - 1
ORG
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 2
IKF
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VAR
4 - 0
NOR
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
DEG
0 - 1
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 2
GEF
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 2
VAR
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |