Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 4-3
Örgryte vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1966 |
ORG
1 - 1
GAI
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
NIC
2 - 2
ORG
56%
19%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1966 |
GÖT
1 - 2
ORG
51%
21%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1966 |
ORG
3 - 2
NOR
36%
22%
42%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1966 |
ORG
4 - 1
IKB
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
NIC
2 - 1
GIR
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
NIC
2 - 2
ORG
56%
19%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
NIC
3 - 1
TFC
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1966 |
ANG
1 - 0
NIC
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1966 |
NIC
1 - 2
LIL
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |