Örgryte vs Gefle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
16º
15º
14
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 58 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 57 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 54 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 54 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 41 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 38 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 37 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 37 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 37 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 36 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 34 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 33 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
10 | 30 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 24 |
16º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
34% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
34% | 23% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
ORG
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
ORG
1 - 2
TRE
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DEG
4 - 1
ORG
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
ORG
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
ORG
0 - 1
HEL
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
GEF
3 - 1
ORE
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
OST
4 - 3
GEF
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
GEF
1 - 0
GIF
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GEF
2 - 0
SKO
41%
25%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
OIF
0 - 0
GEF
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |