Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 1-7
Örgryte vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
ORG
1 - 3
AIK
55%
22%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
DEG
1 - 6
ORG
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
ELF
2 - 1
ORG
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1966 |
ORG
2 - 1
NIC
63%
18%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1966 |
ORG
1 - 1
GAI
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
FTC
3 - 0
NKO
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1966 |
NKO
3 - 3
FTC
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
FTC
1 - 1
INT
32%
24%
44%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
INT
4 - 0
FTC
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1965 |
PAN
1 - 3
FTC
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |