Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-4
Örgryte vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1964 |
GAI
0 - 2
ORG
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1964 |
DUN
4 - 2
ORG
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
ORG
1 - 0
MFF
42%
23%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
ESK
1 - 4
ORG
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1964 |
ORG
1 - 5
GÖT
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
AIR
3 - 4
DUN
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1964 |
DUN
4 - 2
ORG
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1964 |
GRE
2 - 0
DUN
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1964 |
DUN
3 - 0
MHE
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1964 |
KIL
1 - 0
DUN
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |