Orgánica Masachapa vs Sport Sébaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
75.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
8º
7º
30
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orgánica Masachapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 1
DIR
16%
25%
60%
|
17 | 70 | 53 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
ORM
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 62 | 45 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 4
EST
12%
21%
67%
|
17 | 69 | 52 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 0
WAL
12%
21%
67%
|
16 | 64 | 48 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 0
ORM
80%
15%
5%
|
16 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 1
CDS
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
5 - 0
CDS
33%
24%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 3
CDS
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 2
MFC
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 1
CDS
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |