Orgánica Masachapa vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
67.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
8º
7º
42
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orgánica Masachapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 0
WAL
12%
21%
67%
|
16 | 64 | 48 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 0
ORM
80%
15%
5%
|
16 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 1
MFC
9%
19%
72%
|
15 | 53 | 38 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
ORM
80%
15%
6%
|
15 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ORM
1 - 4
UNA
9%
18%
73%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
DIR
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EST
5 - 0
CDS
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 2
EST
11%
23%
67%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |