Orgánica Masachapa vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
67.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
8º
7º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orgánica Masachapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 0
ORM
80%
15%
5%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 1
MFC
9%
19%
72%
|
14 | 51 | 37 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
ORM
80%
15%
6%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ORM
1 - 4
UNA
9%
18%
73%
|
14 | 47 | 33 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 0
ORM
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 54 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
WAL
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 0
UNA
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 2
WAL
14%
25%
62%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
MAN
62%
21%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |