CF Orgaceño vs Poligono Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Orgaceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 3
ORG
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ORG
6 - 1
MEN
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CBA
1 - 6
ORG
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ORG
1 - 0
POL
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MOC
1 - 0
ORG
47%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Poligono Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PTO
7 - 0
MEN
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
POL
2 - 2
PTO
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PTO
2 - 1
CDL
55%
22%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 0
PTO
6%
13%
81%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PTO
2 - 1
CON
64%
19%
16%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |