CF Orgaceño vs At. Consuegra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+131%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Orgaceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 4
ORG
19%
21%
61%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 1
ORG
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ORG
1 - 0
CDE
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ORG
3 - 0
URD
47%
24%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PTO
0 - 1
ORG
65%
19%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
At. Consuegra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
BAR
56%
21%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CON
2 - 0
URD
50%
23%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 1
CON
30%
23%
47%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CON
5 - 0
CBA
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MOC
0 - 1
CON
57%
21%
21%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |