Orense vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MUS
0 - 0
ORE
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ORE
2 - 0
RIV
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
ORE
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ORE
1 - 1
CUE
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ORE
1 - 0
BSC
27%
28%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 3
DEL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 2
UCE
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUS
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
EME
3 - 0
MAC
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |