Orenburg II vs Lada Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
7º
13º
10º
6
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
26 | 59 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 50 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 45 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
1º
|
27 | 41 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 39 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 34 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 34 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 32 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 31 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 26 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 23 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 23 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 20 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ORE
0 - 2
UNT
30%
21%
50%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 1
ORE
26%
21%
52%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 0
URA
30%
23%
46%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +3 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 0
ORE
33%
24%
44%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 3
RKZ
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Lada Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAD
1 - 0
FKA
49%
21%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
URA
2 - 1
LAD
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAD
0 - 3
DIN
34%
23%
43%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RKZ
2 - 1
LAD
13%
15%
72%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LAD
0 - 0
KRS
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |