Orenburg II vs Lada Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
KRS
2 - 0
ORE
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
ORE
2 - 1
KHI
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
ORE
2 - 1
LUK
30%
23%
46%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
ORE
0 - 0
NOS
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
NOS
4 - 0
ORE
84%
10%
6%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Lada Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LAD
1 - 2
DIN
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
LAD
0 - 6
FCN
9%
17%
74%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
LSD
0 - 0
LAD
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
LAD
0 - 8
LSD
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FCC
7 - 0
LAD
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |