Orenburg II vs Krylia Sovetov II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+156%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
13º
12º
40
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
ORE
79%
17%
5%
|
26 | 69 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 1
NOV
72%
16%
13%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 0
ORE
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 1
NOS
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KAZ
3 - 0
ORE
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Krylia Sovetov II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KRS
4 - 1
FKA
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
URA
0 - 2
KRS
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KRS
0 - 0
DIN
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RKZ
5 - 1
KRS
41%
23%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -3 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KRS
3 - 2
UNT
27%
21%
52%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +3 |