Orenburg II vs FC Irtysh Omsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
11º
9º
40
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ORE
3 - 0
DIN
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MIA
2 - 1
ORE
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 3
FCC
10%
19%
71%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
DIN
3 - 0
ORE
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
IRT
1 - 1
ORE
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Irtysh Omsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
NOS
1 - 1
IRT
12%
18%
70%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
TYU
0 - 3
IRT
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ZEN
0 - 3
IRT
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
IRT
74%
19%
7%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
IRT
4 - 0
NOS
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |