Orenburg II vs Torpedo Miass analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
11º
9º
28
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FKK
1 - 2
ORE
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ORE
1 - 1
FCN
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 1
ORE
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 0
FKK
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 2
ORE
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Torpedo Miass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MIA
0 - 4
TYU
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 1
MIA
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MIA
0 - 2
FCC
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TYU
1 - 2
MIA
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 2
ORE
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |