Orenburg II vs FK Novosibirsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
11º
9º
29
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 1
ORE
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 0
FKK
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 2
ORE
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ORE
3 - 1
ZEN
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PER
3 - 3
ORE
79%
17%
4%
|
27 | 69 | 42 | +1 |
Matches
FK Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 1
ORE
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
FCN
65%
23%
12%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FKK
2 - 3
FCN
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCN
2 - 1
URA
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NOS
0 - 0
FCN
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |