Orenburg II vs Akron Tolyatti II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+91%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
13º
12º
22
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
URA
1 - 1
ORE
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 0
DIN
39%
24%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KRS
2 - 1
ORE
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 1
PER
10%
21%
69%
|
28 | 67 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
ORE
15%
18%
67%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Akron Tolyatti II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
UNT
1 - 0
FKA
84%
10%
6%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 4
URA
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
RKZ
2 - 0
FKA
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 1
KRS
44%
22%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PER
3 - 1
FKA
66%
22%
12%
|
19 | 67 | 48 | 0 |