Orenburg II vs FC Chelyabinsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
68.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
11º
9º
39
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
ORE
1 - 5
IRT
19%
20%
61%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ORE
3 - 0
DIN
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MIA
2 - 1
ORE
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 3
FCC
10%
19%
71%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
DIN
3 - 0
ORE
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Chelyabinsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 3
TYU
32%
26%
43%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
FCN
0 - 0
FCC
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCC
4 - 1
LAD
85%
12%
4%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 3
FCC
10%
19%
71%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 0
FCN
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |