Orenburg II vs Dinamo Kirov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+87%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
13º
13º
48
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 47 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 43 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 43 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
77% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 32 |
8º
|
63% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
12º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 23 |
13º
|
65% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 17 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 24.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 75.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KRS
2 - 1
ORE
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 1
PER
10%
21%
69%
|
26 | 66 | 40 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
ORE
15%
18%
67%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ORE
3 - 2
DIN
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NOS
2 - 1
ORE
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Kirov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 0
URA
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
UNT
0 - 1
DIN
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
RKZ
2 - 0
DIN
19%
20%
61%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
DIN
4 - 0
KRS
70%
16%
13%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
DIN
77%
17%
6%
|
30 | 65 | 35 | 0 |