FK Orel vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+203%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 0
ORE
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
ORE
1 - 1
TOR
10%
24%
66%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
ZVE
1 - 0
ORE
66%
22%
12%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
ORE
0 - 1
ENE
20%
25%
56%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
ORE
1 - 0
LOK
22%
27%
51%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2016 |
ZEN
0 - 0
LOK
35%
31%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
MET
2 - 1
ZEN
49%
27%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
ZEN
0 - 0
ARS
60%
25%
16%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
DIN
0 - 0
ZEN
37%
30%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
ZEN
1 - 0
VIT
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |