FK Orel vs SKA Khabarovsk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
12º
10º
18
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 63 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 58 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 51 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 43 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 39 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 39 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 35 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 32 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
13º
|
64.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 19 |
14º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 15 |
15º
|
80% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 1
ORE
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ORE
0 - 0
ZVE
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FKK
2 - 1
ORE
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 1
KOL
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SAK
1 - 0
ORE
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SKA Khabarovsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 1
SAL
25%
24%
52%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
ZVE
2 - 1
SKA
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
FKK
3 - 2
SKA
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
KOL
3 - 3
SKA
40%
23%
38%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SAK
0 - 0
SKA
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |