FK Orel vs Khimki II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
60.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
8º
13º
13º
23
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 61 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 55 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 55 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 47 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 45 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 33 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 26 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 24 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 16 |
15º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
11% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FDV
1 - 0
ORE
72%
17%
12%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LOK
2 - 0
ORE
90%
8%
3%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ORE
0 - 1
MET
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ROT
1 - 4
ORE
28%
22%
51%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
ORE
6 - 1
MET
88%
8%
4%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Khimki II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KHI
0 - 0
SAL
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
FCC
2 - 0
KHI
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SAK
5 - 1
KHI
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
FPP
1 - 2
KHI
25%
21%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
KHI
5 - 0
FKO
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |