FK Orel vs Avangard Kursk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
59.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SOK
1 - 0
ORE
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
ORE
0 - 2
FAK
14%
23%
63%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
ARS
3 - 0
ORE
70%
18%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
ORE
0 - 2
VIT
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 0
ORE
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AVA
3 - 0
MET
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
ZVE
1 - 0
AVA
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 2
KAL
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
ZEN
1 - 0
AVA
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 0
POD
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |