FK Orel vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
64.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
12º
10º
28
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 65 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 49 |
4º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 39 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 33 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 32 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 29 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 21 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 20 |
15º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 1
ORE
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 0
SPA
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KPP
3 - 2
ORE
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 2
KHI
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FDV
1 - 0
ORE
72%
17%
12%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARS
4 - 1
SAL
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ZVE
1 - 2
ARS
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
FKK
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 2
ARS
30%
21%
49%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 2
SAK
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |