Oregon State vs San Diego State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oregon State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
OSB
4 - 3
UCB
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
OSB
1 - 2
VTH
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SDS
0 - 4
OSB
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
OSB
3 - 2
STA
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
UCB
2 - 1
OSB
10%
16%
74%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
San Diego State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
WAH
1 - 0
SDS
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SDS
1 - 0
STA
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 0
CGB
45%
22%
34%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SDS
0 - 4
OSB
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CGB
3 - 1
SDS
40%
22%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |