Oregon State vs San Diego State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oregon State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
STA
3 - 2
OSB
46%
22%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
OSB
4 - 0
CGB
88%
8%
4%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
OSB
2 - 1
UCB
84%
10%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
WAH
1 - 2
OSB
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
San Diego State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 3
CGB
60%
19%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
WAH
3 - 2
SDS
88%
8%
4%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SDS
0 - 1
STA
11%
16%
73%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
UCB
1 - 1
SDS
59%
19%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |