Örebro Syrianska vs Friska Viljor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
12º
10º
18
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 68 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 65 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 65 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 48 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 43 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 36 |
10º
|
31% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 33 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 30 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 28 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 26 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 96.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örebro Syrianska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UME
1 - 0
ORE
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 1
STO
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
JON
2 - 1
ORE
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ORE
5 - 1
ATV
63%
20%
18%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ORE
4 - 0
MOT
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Friska Viljor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 3
FBK
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
IFS
6 - 0
FRI
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
GIF
2 - 0
FRI
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
UME
2 - 0
FRI
53%
22%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FRI
3 - 2
PIT
29%
23%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |