Örebro Syrianska vs FBK Karlstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
12º
10º
12
5º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
1º
|
39 | 64 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 58 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 47 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 46 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 44 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 42 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 40 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 32 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 22 |
16º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 89% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örebro Syrianska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 4
ORE
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 2
ORE
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
ORE
0 - 2
SOL
36%
25%
40%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 0
ORE
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 2
AFC
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
FBK
0 - 1
HTF
31%
26%
44%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STO
3 - 0
FBK
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 3
ASS
21%
22%
58%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UME
2 - 1
FBK
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FBK
0 - 3
KAL
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |