Orebro SK vs Sarajevo analysis


75	ELO	77
2.4%	Tilt	-7.4%
1826º	General ELO ranking	621º
30º	Country ELO ranking	3º
ELO win probability

48.3%

Orebro SK

24.9%

Draw

26.8%

Sarajevo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

48.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%

24.9%

Draw

0-0

6.6%

1-1

11.8%

2-2

5.3%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

24.9%

26.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Orebro SK

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 Jul. 2011	ELF 3 - 0 ORE 60% 23% 17%	76	80	4	0
03 Jul. 2011	ORE 0 - 3 ELF 43% 26% 32%	77	80	3	-1
26 Jun. 2011	MJÄ 2 - 1 ORE 37% 28% 35%	77	71	6	0
23 Jun. 2011	ORE 1 - 2 DJU 59% 22% 18%	77	69	8	0
18 Jun. 2011	HAL 0 - 0 ORE 28% 28% 44%	78	64	14	-1

Matches

Sarajevo

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
28 May. 2011	SAR 1 - 0 VEL 70% 19% 11%	77	64	13	0
22 May. 2011	DRI 0 - 5 SAR 13% 26% 62%	77	53	24	0
19 May. 2011	SAR 3 - 0 SIR 45% 26% 30%	76	77	1	+1
14 May. 2011	LEO 0 - 2 SAR 29% 28% 43%	75	63	12	+1
07 May. 2011	SAR 0 - 0 ZEL 50% 26% 24%	75	77	2	0