Ordabasy vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
5º
1º
30
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 41 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
10º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
39% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 19 |
12º
|
78% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 13 |
13º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
43.5% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
34.5% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ordabasy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 2
FCA
46%
24%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 1
ORD
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 1
KYZ
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TAR
0 - 2
ORD
27%
24%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 1
ORD
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
AST
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
ZHE
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 1
FKZ
55%
26%
20%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AST
2 - 2
TOB
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 3
TOB
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |