Ordabasy vs Atyrau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
4º
1º
34
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ordabasy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
KYZ
0 - 1
ORD
29%
26%
44%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ORD
1 - 0
OKZ
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
ORD
2 - 0
KYZ
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAQ
1 - 2
ORD
19%
25%
56%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ORD
4 - 0
KAI
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atyrau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
ATY
0 - 0
AST
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ZHE
0 - 3
ATY
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
KAI
1 - 1
ATY
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ATY
2 - 1
SHA
20%
26%
54%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
KAS
1 - 1
ATY
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |