Ordabasy vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
5º
1º
27
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 42 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
1º
|
34 | 41 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 33 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 30 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
41% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 21 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 17 |
13º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
52.5% | 8.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
25.5% | 37.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 54% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ordabasy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 0
ATY
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 1
ORD
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 1
FCA
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 3
ORD
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PYU
1 - 0
ORD
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 1
AST
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
KYZ
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 1
AST
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
AST
3 - 0
BBS
29%
23%
48%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
2 - 0
AST
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |