Ordabasy vs FC Aktobe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
5º
1º
34
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 42 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
|
1º
|
34 | 41 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 38 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 30 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
63% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 17 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
56% | 14% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
30% | 52.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
14% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ordabasy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 3
ORD
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PYU
1 - 0
ORD
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
ORD
0 - 1
PYU
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
ORD
4 - 3
DIF
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ZHE
1 - 1
ORD
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
KAI
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 1
FCA
34%
27%
38%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKZ
1 - 2
FCA
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
KYZ
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 3
FCA
53%
23%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |