Orbit College vs Magesi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
65.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
9º
9º
57
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orbit College
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 1
JDR
7%
15%
78%
|
24 | 62 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CST
6 - 1
ORC
73%
18%
9%
|
24 | 62 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ORC
2 - 1
JDR
18%
24%
59%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 1
BAR
16%
23%
61%
|
23 | 63 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
ORC
75%
17%
8%
|
23 | 67 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Magesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 1
PCF
38%
24%
39%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 2
PRE
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 2
CST
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HLF
1 - 3
MAG
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VFA
2 - 0
MAG
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |