Oratorio vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
46.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ORC
0 - 1
YAP
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 2
ORC
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ORC
2 - 0
SEC
64%
19%
18%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ECM
1 - 2
ORC
29%
21%
50%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
IAP
2 - 2
ORC
56%
21%
24%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPM
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
ORC
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
YAP
69%
18%
14%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 1
ECM
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
SPM
0 - 5
SAN
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |