Oratorio vs Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ECM
1 - 2
ORC
29%
21%
50%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
IAP
2 - 2
ORC
56%
21%
24%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 0
IAP
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
ORC
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 1
ECM
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
TDC
5 - 0
SEC
74%
16%
9%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SEC
1 - 1
YAP
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
TDC
6 - 0
SEC
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SEC
2 - 8
SPM
45%
22%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SEC
1 - 6
IAP
17%
18%
64%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |