Orapa United FC vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orapa United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TAF
0 - 1
ORA
47%
26%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ORA
2 - 1
SUA
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 1
ORA
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ORA
0 - 0
CHA
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
ORA
47%
26%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MOW
2 - 1
BOT
47%
25%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
EXT
56%
22%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NIC
0 - 0
BOT
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 3
MFC
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 2
AFR
36%
27%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |