Orange County SC vs Wilmington Hammerheads analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
ORA
1 - 6
SAC
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 2
ORA
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 1
ORA
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PIT
1 - 0
ORA
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OKC
1 - 0
ORA
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Wilmington Hammerheads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 3
WIL
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
SAC
2 - 0
WIL
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
NYR
1 - 0
WIL
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 2
DAY
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 3
RIC
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |