Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
REN
2 - 2
ORA
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ORA
1 - 2
ARI
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ORA
1 - 0
REN
47%
24%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ORA
4 - 0
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
REN
3 - 1
ORA
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
FC Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TUL
1 - 1
POR
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
LOU
3 - 1
TUL
68%
20%
13%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
TUL
1 - 4
SEA
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 0
TUL
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TUL
1 - 2
RGV
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |